Senate Democrats are approaching their resumption of the federal government last month. Last Friday at 12:01, the government will run out of funds.
Most recently, the excitement from progressive activists persuaded Democrats to close the deferred child move-in program, which has nearly 700,000 people illegally brought to the United States as children to provide work permits and deportation protection. Despite the imminent deadline for the suspension in March, Democrats do not seem to agree with the closure of the government this time.
Democrats believe they've come a long way from Closure Valley thanks to a commitment by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell that will amplify the pressure on House Republicans and President Trump , Fix the DACA without being forced to shut down again the government.
Democrats seem to think so: they have a commitment from McConnell to launch an immigration debate in the coming days, which they think will lead to the passage of some kind of bipartisan legislation in the Senate. They believe the overwhelming vote in the Senate will change the fundamentals of the DACA stalemate, forcing the House of Representatives and Trump to find a real solution to the problem - if they fail to do so, the responsibility will have a direct impact on them.
This eliminates the need to shut down the government. But it is a bet that McConnell insists on his remarks and strives to change the will of Democrats to believe. Last month's minority appetite for maintaining the government's closures seemed to be their only option.
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McConnell promises to file immigration laws - as long as Democrats no longer close the government
If Senate Democrats and Republicans can agree on immigration by February 8, that will be the end of the story.
However, without an agreement, McConnell promised it would be like this: He will debate the immigration bill with the Senate after February 8, as long as Democrats no longer close the government.
In a speech to the Senate, Republican leaders said: "If these issues are not resolved when the funding bill we face on February 8 expires, so long as the government remains open," - "I intend to deal with the DACA And border security and other related issues. "
Therefore, McConnell's immigration debate is conditional on Democrats not opposing another short-term spending bill that the Senate may need to pass on February 8. He will bring some DACA bills to the floor as soon as the federal government grants them. He specifically mentioned the ongoing negotiations between the leaders of the two sides and the two sides.
He also promised to have a fair and open amendment to any immigration bill before the Senate.
McConnell said: "Let me be clear: From the outset, the immigration debate will have a level playing field and a fair process of revision for all.
Democrats think they have McConnell promised to move immigration bills
McConnell's commitment is based on immigration deals that were not reached before the deadline for the new spending bill of February 8, and Democrats did not close the government again until it was renewed.
Progressive militants are questionable when Democrats decide to close the closures. McConnell initially promised that Senator Susan Collins (R-ME) will file a health care bill by the end of last year. Senators Jeff Flake (R-AZ) have also been assured that bipartisan DACA bills will get a vote in the Senate. Although the senators have signed an extension agreement, none of them has fulfilled their promise. The problem is that the advanced base does not consider McConnell an honest negotiator and therefore lashes out the deal reached between the Democrats and the Republican leaders.
No one can figure out what happened now, just days after Feb. 8. Even if Democrats voted this week to pass another short-term motion that meets McConnell's conditions, at least in February or March there will be more money to vote, which in theory will give them a chance for the DACA Scramble.
It may not be like this. Even Democrats who oppose the closing of their minds can hardly escape from his promise. That should give them a chance to get immigration bills from the Senate.
D-CT told me: "I know people are worried that he has passed on his words to some of his members." But there are some differences in the Senate commitment to dozens of member states, not one or two countries. "
Democrats believe passage of the immigration bill will put pressure on the House of Representatives and Trump
The Democrats Senate believes that if McConnell fulfills his promise and the Senate passes an overwhelming bipartisan plan of support, Republican congressmen assume that responsibility by default, or negotiations can not take place.
Hard-line conservatives have consistently failed to compromise immigrants, but the minority believes that this is their best move. Their only alternative is to run the risk of another shutdown, with Republicans continuing to obstruct their control of hostages, which the Republicans have repeatedly claimed is insignificant.
Democratic Senator Gary Peters told reporters: "If we have a bill broadly supported by the bipartisans in the Senate, then this motion will send a very strong signal to the parliament that this can be passed.
Democrats also seem to think that if Republicans relax their mindset at the DACA, hundreds of thousands are in danger and they will have clearer narratives next time.
"I think we not only got 60 votes but we still could not get 60," Gold told me. "If that happens, it puts a lot of pressure on the president and the House of Representatives."
"Plus, do they really want to start expelling a third-grade teacher on March 5?" He added. "I do not think so."
Of course, in 2013, the Senate passed a comprehensive plan for immigration reform, and the House Republicans never took any action. Although Democrats in the Senate in support of the last spending bill are arguing, this time is still different.
Peters said: "We do have a deadline, March 5." These young people will lose their work permits and will be truly rough shapes on March 5 - a very tough deadline